One unqualified reservations bitcoin of inference, no more, no less. No humbug, no cant, but only inference. This task done, and he would go free.
And, as far as I can tell, we don’t really know why all this is happening, though of course there are theories. Some parts, as I’ve noted, are purely technological. We have much better birth control technology, which means that those people who are inclined to not have children have a much easier time of arranging this. But there’s another part that missing in the previous analysis. Even among the couples that do want to have kids, there’s an increasing sense that they can’t afford to have as many as they’d want.
The cost of raising them has gotten too high, both in terms of money and time. While it’s worth taking this complaint seriously, it sounds very odd at a first glance. Society is immensely richer than it was a hundred years ago. We have a lot more labor-saving technology, and ipads and televisions to entertain children. How is it that the cost has not only gone up, but gone up so much that it overwhelms the increase in income, resulting in the budget set allowing for fewer children under current preferences? Part of this is just a raised set of standards. When people lived in primitive societies, often everyone in a family slept in the same room and the same bed.